Yes, Pete Buttigieg surged in Iowa since August. Also, half of poll respondents said they'll probably change their minds.


Did I pull data from 28 seasons of Dancing With the Stars to graph just how terribly Sean Spicer fared? Sure did.


Monday

Mon, 3:50 pm

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Call it the shallow state: The weird network operating asymptotically with the government to drive Trump’s Ukraine policy.


Mon, 1:49 pm

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Three things that haven't changed much in the past month: National support for impeachment/removal, Biden's national polling, Biden head-to-head polling against Trump.


Friday

Fri, 5:13 pm

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Open hearings are now bad and releasing transcripts is now good, please update your files.


Fri, 3:49 pm

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I took the week's impeachment inquiry transcripts and put together an oral history of how Trump's team tried to leverage a White House meeting for politically helpful investigations. Lots of detail, told as a narrative.


Fri, 10:47 am

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Trump's allies are eager to distance him from the Ukraine pressure campaign. There is a lot of existing evidenceâ€"certainly including the rough transcriptâ€"that will make that very hard.


Fri, 7:18 am

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Big period for:

- billionaires being mad about the Dem candidates

- New York mayors

And lo


Thursday

Thu, 4:09 pm

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A poll in MI, WI, MN and PA finds that about 20 percent of respondents are undecided. Half of the undecided are moderatesâ€"and more than half back assault-weapon ban, path to citizenship and even Green New Deal.


Thu, 2:18 pm

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Why did Democrats gain control of Virginia? According to Laura "Blame Immigrants" Ingraham, it was because of immigrants. (It wasn't because of immigrants.)


Thu, 10:04 am

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New testimony from the impeachment inquiry reinforces an important point: The Trump-Giuliani Ukraine plan almost worked.


Wednesday

Wed, 5:44 pm

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There was only ever one qualification anyone identified as a predicate for releasing aid to Ukraine: Trump's investigations.


Wed, 1:08 pm

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Charts and maps about what happened in Kentucky and, of course, What It Means.


Wed, 9:48 am

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The loss for Trump on Tuesday was electoral, yes, but it was also of something much deeperâ€"and perhaps more important.


Tuesday

Nov 5, 7:09 pm

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One important new detail from Volker/Sondland transcripts: On 7/25, likely after talking to Trump, Sondland asked Volker to call him. 30 minutes later, Volker made QPQ request of Zelensky's aide, saying it came from the WH.


Nov 5, 4:26 pm

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Sondland is a true ambassador: Someone hoping to make everyone happy but at the end of the day worried most about his boss.


Nov 5, 1:38 pm

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Two important details from Monmouth's new poll: Impeachment support is flat and Republicans aren't being convinced by the evidence that's emerged.


Nov 5, 11:08 am

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Why the focus on publicly identifying the whistleblower? Trump and his allies want a Peter Strzok for the Ukraine scandal.


Monday

Nov 4, 5:10 pm

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Here is a long article about how Lawrence Lessig predicted the new era of cherry-picking details from massive chunks of information to win political fights.


Nov 4, 2:36 pm

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How 2020 second choices for Democrats break down depending on who voters like best.


Nov 4, 12:02 pm

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The new Times swing-state poll emphasizes a key issue: predicting who will vote is an important part of figuring out what will happen.


Nov 4, 9:39 am

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Trump keeps overlapping obviously ridiculous claims with his dubious assertions about Ukraine.


Friday

Nov 1, 5:04 pm

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I've written several times about the overlap of Trump support and Fox News viewership. Coverage of the impeachment inquiry helps explain why that happens.


Nov 1, 4:13 pm

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I wrote about the various, immediate and obvious reasons that map from Kevin McCarthy about impeachment was incredibly bad.


Nov 1, 2:08 pm

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Herein I pose a question to Hill Republicans: Which GOP approval number is more trustworthy, one from The Post-ABC News or one Trump appears to have made up?


Nov 1, 11:37 am

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In retrospect, it should have been obvious that Trump would make Mar-a-Lago his official home.


Nov 1, 9:47 am

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Average monthly job growth in 2019 has been slower than any year since 2010. If the economy had continued to add jobs at the pace seen in Obama's second term, more than 1 million more people would be working.


Thursday

Oct 31, 3:50 pm

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I was talking to my editor the other day and we realized we were curious about where and how often disasters are declared by the government. So I answered the question.


Oct 31, 1:56 pm

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The impeachment inquiry vote was almost entirely on party lines â€" even for Dems representing Republican-leaning districts.


Oct 31, 11:05 am

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As the House debates the impeachment inquiry, here are eight discrete instances in which claims of quid pro quo have been alleged â€" four of which have been additionally corroborated.


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