Evacuating a nursing home as the Camp Fire whipped toward it.


Friday

Fri, 5:46 pm

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Trump offered his view of how the midterms should be considered. Here is my view of his view.


Fri, 2:56 pm

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The GOP wipeout in California’s Orange County is bad news over the short term. The underlying trend may be worse news for much longer.


Fri, 11:33 am

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Fascinating new data from Pew about young Americans -- with really significant political implications.


Fri, 9:44 am

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Prior to the midterms, Republicans in the House represented districts that, on average, voted for Trump by a 21-point margin. After the midterms, the average is 25 points.


Thursday

Thu, 4:20 pm

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Kellyanne Conway tried to save face post-election by pointing to Trump's wins after his rallies. Welllllll


Thu, 11:47 am

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Trump's made clear in the past 24 hours that he axed Sessions because of Mueller and that he has a new focus on targeting the probe.


Thu, 9:08 am

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An interesting chart, if I do say so myself: Monthly federal surplus or deficit since 1993.


Wednesday

Wed, 3:59 pm

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I wrote about Trump's cereal-buying, hat-swapping case for the existence of voter fraud.


Wed, 3:28 pm

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Matt Gaetz thinks Democrats in Florida are committing just enough fraud to know how to commit fraud in 2020, or something.


Wed, 1:03 pm

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The last time California's House delegation was as densely Democratic as it will be next year, California had two House seats.


Wed, 10:33 am

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Trump's post-election cocooning, in chart form.


Tuesday

Tue, 4:54 pm

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A lot of women and people of color won last week! And yet now white men are more likely to be represented by a white man in the House than they were at the beginning of 2017.


Tue, 1:57 pm

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The most heavily nonwhite states tend to vote Democratic -- but the relationship between diversity and partisanship isn't as neat as it may seem.


Tue, 10:15 am

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Likely the highest midterm turnout in a century. But which voters led that surge?


Monday

Mon, 5:30 pm

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Trump Jr. shares a news article that is debunked in the article itself.


Mon, 3:42 pm

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If you like politics and scatter plots, hey, good news, man.


Mon, 1:29 pm

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The West Coast has a reputation as Democratic territory. Last week, that reputation solidified.


Mon, 10:33 am

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1. Authorities have reported no evidence of fraud.

2. Broward makes up less of the statewide vote than in 2016.

3. Its vote isn't unusually pro-Dem relative to 2016.

4. There are still thousands of ballots that can be returned, including from military.


Friday

Nov 9, 3:33 pm

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It's hard at this point to argue that Trump didn't violate campaign finance law in 2016.


Nov 9, 12:54 pm

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You've heard the jokes, now here are the numbers. Yes, discussion of the caravan mostly disappeared from cable news over the last two days.

But it's a bit more complicated than you might think.


Nov 9, 11:32 am

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Trump's unfounded voter fraud conspiracy has now been rolled into his questionable Russia investigation conspiracy theory.


Nov 9, 10:08 am

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Beto O'Rourke won Texas (at least among people born in Texas).


Nov 9, 7:03 am

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In three key states, ballots are still being counted.

In one, things just went nutso.


Thursday

Nov 8, 3:40 pm

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If everyone who voted in a House race on Tuesday voted for the same party in 2020, and no one else voted, Trump would lose the electoral vote 290-248. HOWEVER.


Nov 8, 12:33 pm

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Why do Democrats feel like Tuesday was a dud? A focus on individual candidates in races that Dems lost, a baseline expectation from polling that ended up being accurate and the slow, still-ongoing accretion of wins.


Nov 8, 11:02 am

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From 1984 to 2004, there was one mass shooting incident in which 10 or more people were killed every four years.

In the past four years, there have been eight.

From January to today, there have been four.


Nov 8, 10:10 am

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Looked at turnout, demographic and polling data to figure out if granting felons the right to vote *before* Tuesday would have changed the midterms. Conclusion: Probably.


Wednesday

Nov 7, 3:33 pm

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Trump Jr.'s been saying he expects to be indicted. That decision is, as of today, up to a guy who's said he thinks the Trump Tower meeting was OK.


Nov 7, 2:13 pm

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In the span of about five minutes, Trump disparaged CNN's polls and then, to counter a question about his rhetoric, lifted up a poll from Rasmussen showing 40% black approval days before showing a GOP lead in the House race.


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