Fri, 5:10 pm

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Trump's ability to reverse the opinions of Republican voters in 2015 has stuck with me since. So I looked to see if Bloomberg was doing anything similar.


Fri, 2:45 pm

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Since he started running for office, Bloomberg's net worth has increased by nearly twice as much as Biden raised for his campaign last year. It's increased that much each day, on average.


Fri, 12:17 pm

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I made a simple interactive to let you see how tricky it might be for a Democrat to clinch the nomination prior to the convention.


Fri, 10:52 am

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Why Barr's assertions he's immune to political influence can't be accepted at face value.


Thursday

Thu, 5:29 pm

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Remember the national emergency that's allowing Trump to build the wall? It was predicated on a surge in migration that's since faded, but Trump made a promise about building the wall that he intends to keep.


Thu, 2:55 pm

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During the impeachment trial, House managers raised a hypothetical: What if Trump leveraged federal resources to compel a governor to do what he wanted?

Today, Trump hinted at just such a quid pro quo â€" in a tweet.


Thu, 11:54 am

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What Bloomberg's trying to do on social media vs. what Trump's trying to do. At least for now.


Thu, 9:30 am

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John Kelly offered a few qualified criticisms of Trump policies last night. But he also offered one perhaps-indirect condemnation of the president: Fox News viewers are not well-informed.


Wednesday

Wed, 5:05 pm

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Trump on Wednesday tried to suggest that Roger Stone's crimes were some mystery. He has good reason for suggesting that they are: Stone was convicted for lying to protect Trump's campaign.


Wed, 3:24 pm

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One thing Sanders learned in 2016 is that, once you get behind the magic number for reaching the nomination, it can be awfully hard to catch back up.


Wed, 1:07 pm

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Compared voting and exit poll data from 2016 and 2020 (so far) to consider the question of why Sanders's support in the state changed.


Wed, 10:00 am

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An important layer to Trump's insistence to Barr that Stone get a lighter sentence for covering up his outreach to WikiLeaks:

In 2016, Trump accused the Clintons of improperly influencing the AG, something he amplified after a WikiLeaks email release.


Wed, 7:20 am

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A fifth of New Hampshire voters picked their candidate on Election Day. Three-quarters of Klobuchar's support solidified since the debate.


Tuesday

Feb 11, 11:12 pm

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As of now, the best finish Biden has ever had in a presidential primary was when he came in third in Delaware in 2008, after he'd already dropped out.

That might not change.


Feb 11, 5:17 pm

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I walked through everything that's unfolded in the aftermath of Trump's impeachment acquittal.

From the firings to the rants to the tweets to the Stone debacle â€" and that's just part of it.


Feb 11, 1:03 pm

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The shift in Biden support is near-apocalyptic. In the past two weeks, he's dropped 9 points in RCP's average; Buttigieg and Bloomberg have each gained about 4.5.


Feb 11, 11:39 am

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Trump is trying to use the early primaries as a way to disrupt, demoralize and defeat the Democrats and their voters.


Feb 11, 10:14 am

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p-bu.mp/15qm

In the past 24 hours we've gotten several stark reminders of the extent to which Trump views criminal justice primarily through the lens of the exercise of power.


Monday

Feb 10, 5:28 pm

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p-bu.mp/15ql

Barr's in a weird spot: for a number of reasons, he can't simply ignore Giuliani, but he can also see some of the more obvious ways in which Giuliani's information is total nonsense.


Feb 10, 4:08 pm

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That new Quinnipiac poll shows Bloomberg cannibalizing Biden's biggest demographic leads even as Steyer does his best to blunt any rebound in South Carolina and Nevada.


Feb 10, 1:49 pm

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Curious if you can depend on the results of the Iowa caucuses? Allow five voters from the town of Ocheyedan illustrate why you can't.


Feb 10, 11:56 am

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One tracking poll suggests that the unthinkable may have happened in New Hampshire: a debate mattered.


Feb 10, 9:38 am

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Where did Trump's "53 percent approval" number come from?

Ranked by likelihood:

- He's using a Rasmussen poll from September.
- He took Gallup's approval and took the high end of the MOE.
- He made it up.


Friday

Feb 7, 6:05 pm

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Even if you try to give Trump the benefit of the doubt on ousting Vindman, he doesn't provide an opportunity to do so.


Feb 7, 3:37 pm

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In his address this week, Trump said that the “mentality of American decline” had been “shattered.” New Pew data help explain what happened.


Feb 7, 1:24 pm

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p-bu.mp/15qe

What does unity mean to Trump? Big Trump rallies, strong Republican support and maybe winning over some people due to the economy.

In other words, his 2020 campaign strategy.


Feb 7, 11:17 am

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p-bu.mp/15qd

I did my best to put into human-readable terms the details of what happened in Iowa and what it means.


Thursday

Feb 6, 5:14 pm

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p-bu.mp/15qc

I'd noticed that Sanders maintained his lead with younger Iowans from 2016. Digging a bit deeper, though, turned up a more nuanced picture.


Feb 6, 3:03 pm

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I dug into The Post's big survey of black Americans to look at the Times report that Trump hopes to grab more black support in November.


Feb 6, 1:52 pm

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Trump is not only the same old Trump post-impeachment, he's a Trumpier Trump than ever.


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