Jun 6, 5:03 pm

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At the beginning of Trump's time in office, migration plummeted. It makes the recent increase that much more dramatic.


Jun 6, 3:30 pm

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A comment from Piers Morgan's interview with Trump made me curious about how the death toll on D-Day compared to gun violence in the U.S.


Jun 6, 11:53 am

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How people's rationales for liking or disliking Trump have changed since 2017.


Wednesday

Jun 5, 5:16 pm

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Congratulations to the president on now having visited 12 Trump-branded properties since taking office!


Jun 5, 3:45 pm

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If a Dem wins Texas, the 2020 race is all but over. Dem primary voters want a nominee who can win in 2020 above all else. Ergo, this Texas poll is especially good news for Joe Biden's bid.


Jun 5, 12:35 pm

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There's overlap between two things in the news: Russian trolls making money from their 2016 efforts and YouTube not doing anything about Crowder's comments. The nexus, of course, is the economics of right-wing politics.


Jun 5, 10:13 am

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I ask this question sincerely, based in part on his interview with Piers Morgan: Does Trump actually understand how global warming works?


Jun 5, 7:17 am

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Out of curiosity, I pulled every reportable, individual contribution to a House candidate last year and figured out what percentage came from outside candidates' districts.


Tuesday

Jun 4, 3:32 pm

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Social media has lots of opinions about Trump's tuxedo and his pants. So did a tailor with whom I spoke.


Jun 4, 11:11 am

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Biden trails Sanders by 7 among Dems under 45.

He leads Sanders by 35 among Dems 45 and older.

Older voters care more about electability.


Jun 4, 10:39 am

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Congrats to President Trump on hitting new record support among Republicans in a poll that apparently doesn't exist and which wouldn't be a record anyway.


Monday

Jun 3, 5:54 pm

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Let's talk about semantics and intent and The Dress and partisanship and royalty. Let's talk about Nastygate.


Jun 3, 4:08 pm

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There have been a ton of 2020 town halls in the past few months. Almost none have had any discernable effect on the race.


Jun 3, 1:21 pm

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There's been a regular murmur suggesting that impeachment hearings could tank Trump's support as the Watergate hearings did to Nixon. A new poll reinforces my skepticism about that argument.


Friday

May 31, 3:56 pm

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Counties that backed Clinton generated twice the GDP in 2015 as Trump counties. As a function of the number of voters, though, the difference was much narrower.


May 31, 1:04 pm

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Barr's interview with CBS saw him vaguely hyping the Russia probe conspiracy while also making other inaccurate or contradictory claims.


May 31, 10:48 am

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Talked to a trade lawyer and pulled some numbers to try to explain what the possible trade war with Mexico would look like and why it's happening.


Thursday

May 30, 2:47 pm

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Considering only adult citizens in districting decisions would reduce the number of whites included by an estimated 20 percent nationally. It would eliminate more than half of Hispanics.


May 30, 11:23 am

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How Fox News' prime-time and morning shows worked to frame Mueller's public statement.


May 30, 9:26 am

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Trump was correct when he (briefly) admitted that Russia aided his election. He was incorrect in claiming that he hadn't helped Russia's effort.


Wednesday

May 29, 5:17 pm

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Biden said America was more divided in 1973 than it is now. That's almost certainly not true.


May 29, 4:02 pm

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As older people leave us and more people are born, people below a defined, increasing age are voting more than those over that age.


May 29, 2:25 pm

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The Trump campaign leaked its nonwhite outreach plan to Axios. But what is it actually trying to accomplish?


May 29, 12:18 pm

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For the first time, a member of the executive branch fully conveyed what Mueller's report said and the decisions he made.


Tuesday

May 28, 5:52 pm

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Last month, Trump revived a claim he'd made about the tax cuts before they passed: That they'd be "rocket fuel" for the economy.

Unfortunately for that timing, a new CRS report suggests that they were not that at all.


May 28, 4:46 pm

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Did you see that remarkable graphic showing how the U.K. has begun to eliminate burning coal for power production? I did a version for the U.S. ... that's much less remarkable.


May 28, 10:59 am

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The resignation of Texas' acting secretary of state after he made sweeping claims of voter fraud is a good time to remember all the other claims Trump has hyped that amounted to nothing.


Friday

May 24, 4:55 pm

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Trump figures that the only reason he's not as popular as FDR was after World War II is that the media is mean to him.


May 24, 2:12 pm

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Tommy Fisher or his company -- the wall-builders that Trump has been hyping -- were on Fox News on April 3, 4, 16, 17 and 21. On April 25, the company was mentioned by Sean Hannity.

As part of an interview with Trump.


May 24, 11:17 am

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There are a number of theories about how the investigation into Trump's campaign was biased. With Barr newly empowered to probe those theories, I detailed three -- and noted some flaws with each.


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